Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.391236 0.453328 0.521387 0.601427 0.692887 0.794035 0.914279
2025-06-29 0.275161 0.355996 0.453904 0.580777 0.740363 0.933929 1.185968
2025-07-06 0.212836 0.298741 0.410700 0.566376 0.776172 1.047894 1.425099
2025-07-13 0.180265 0.270460 0.395228 0.578866 0.840386 1.197197 1.718161
2025-07-20 0.161441 0.256533 0.394973 0.608850 0.927989 1.382886 2.075668
2025-07-27 0.143953 0.241011 0.389011 0.627855 0.999460 1.550170 2.420789
2025-08-03 0.126997 0.223260 0.376511 0.634028 1.050405 1.689868 2.735824
2025-08-10 0.111383 0.205067 0.360397 0.631494 1.085855 1.807155 3.024732
2025-08-17 0.097391 0.187405 0.342540 0.623209 1.109834 1.906770 3.292289
2025-08-24 0.085823 0.172254 0.326800 0.616087 1.133934 2.007134 3.567692
2025-08-31 0.074105 0.155060 0.305159 0.595659 1.132150 2.062843 3.771197
2025-09-07 0.071007 0.153977 0.312648 0.628583 1.227674 2.292178 4.290599
2025-09-14 0.061500 0.138936 0.292363 0.607905 1.224472 2.350136 4.517659
2025-09-21 0.053521 0.125907 0.274422 0.589723 1.224148 2.413403 4.760455
2025-09-28 0.047014 0.115029 0.259361 0.575296 1.229120 2.486034 5.025463
2025-10-05 0.043738 0.110864 0.257687 0.587984 1.288862 2.666736 5.508943
2025-10-12 0.042218 0.110532 0.264140 0.618411 1.387432 2.930195 6.172693
2025-10-19 0.039930 0.108018 0.265440 0.637696 1.464341 3.156565 6.780149
2025-10-26 0.036933 0.103298 0.261139 0.643959 1.513812 3.331095 7.296073
2025-11-02 0.033681 0.097421 0.253390 0.641388 1.543447 3.466582 7.741320
2025-11-09 0.030432 0.091042 0.243639 0.632982 1.559057 3.573481 8.134392
2025-11-16 0.027595 0.085336 0.234818 0.625755 1.576483 3.685253 8.545657
2025-11-23 0.024389 0.078074 0.221145 0.605026 1.560256 3.722022 8.796778